SP-NAT doesn't have to scale to 300 customers per IP.  Just more than 1-1.

One IP address may only support 4-20 customers with SP-NAT.   But that's 4-6x what I currently get per IP.   ie.  take one of the /15s I use now for dynamic addresses - we've gone from 132k (1-1) to as many as a few million.

SP-NAT is inevitable - at some point we'll have no more IPs to have and more customers than we have IPs requiring IPv4 connectivity. 

IPv6 is a way of diverting traffic away from SP-NAT and having to only ever buy SP-NAT boxes once.   

MMC


On 01/11/2009, at 6:49 PM, jamie baddeley wrote:

On Sun, 2009-11-01 at 15:15 +1030, Matthew Moyle-Croft wrote:
On 31/10/2009, at 5:58 PM, TreeNet Admin wrote:

The huge problem is all the home customers with ancient second-hand  
CPE.



I don't think they're a huge problem as they're the least likely to  
notice the implementation of SP-NAT in front of their connection.   I  
know at least one large ISP in our region considering this as phase #1  
of an SP-NAT implementation.

I saw a great presentation at the IPv6 Hui that were held in
Christchurch, Auckland and Wellington recently.

It was presented by Dr Hiroshi Esaki from the WIDE project in Japan.

He made it pretty clear that SP-NAT does not scale. See here:
http://www.ipv6.org.nz/02C%20-%20Hiroshi%20Esaki%20keynote%20-%20IPv6%
20Hui.pdf

Start at Page 9 :-)

The point he makes is this. TCP has a limited numberspace. Stuff on the
internet in terms of number of connections per session can be large (and
unknown frankly).

iTunes has in excess of 200 connections per session. Divide 65K by 200
connections and you're left with an equation that says you can only
serve iTunes to about 300 odd users from one NAT box.

But you know that :-)


jamie





The big issue right now is:  the lack of IPv6 native support in CPE at  
all.   If we had the larger CPE vendors starting to implement (*) then  
with a 2 year replacement time for most CPE we'd be fine by the time a  
lack of v4 addresses starts to pinch.

In NZ at the moment with VDSL2 starting to be rolled out it'd be a  
PERFECT time to start squirrelling (or whatever marsuipal/mammal you  
guys have) it into people's houses as people replace CPE.   But I'm  
guessing that it's not happening that way alas.

We need to start getting IPv6 out there to end-customers to start the  
ball rolling to start shaking the problems down.  (And believe me  
there a whole LOT of problems with IPv6 in actual real production to  
DSL customers ...)

(*) Let's face it - given that almost all the CPE is Linux based it's  
just laziness on the CPE vendor's part as it's already bloody well  
done for them.

MMC



-- 
Matthew Moyle-Croft
Peering Manager and Team Lead - Commercial and DSLAMs
Internode /Agile
Level 5, 162 Grenfell Street, Adelaide, SA 5000 Australia
Email: mmc@internode.com.au    Web: http://www.on.net
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