[Fwd: [pacnog] IPv4 exhaustion discussions in Asia Pacific region]
Given our discussions on IPv4 and IPv6 at the recent nznog meeting some of you
may be interested in this.
-------- Original Message --------
Subject: [pacnog] IPv4 exhaustion discussions in Asia Pacific region
Date: Mon, 12 Feb 2007 10:44:32 +1000 (EST)
From: Elly Tawhai
On Mon, 2007-02-12 at 17:15 +1300, Andy Linton wrote:
Given our discussions on IPv4 and IPv6 at the recent nznog meeting some of you may be interested in this.
Allright Andy, Given the deafening silence I'm going to provoke some debate. Just for fun :-) IX's and the like have accelerated IPv4 depletion. Discuss. -Multihoming means assignment at the cost of conservation. -Has also accelerated AS number depletion (though that issue seems to have been sidestepped.) Now, for all you ning-nongs out there, I'm not saying IX's are baad m'kay? Just interested in views in whether gratuitous peering* has brought forward the event horizon. cheers Jamie *characterised by entities who've trod the multihoming path to APNIC to get *assigned*, plumped up their estimates, and is still looking at at the remaining space wondering what the heck they can do with it.
-------- Original Message -------- Subject: [pacnog] IPv4 exhaustion discussions in Asia Pacific region Date: Mon, 12 Feb 2007 10:44:32 +1000 (EST) From: Elly Tawhai
To: pacnog(a)pacnog.org Hi
You are probably aware by now that the exhaustion of IPv4 address space is likely to occur in the next few years.
You might be interested to know that a proposal to deal with IPv4 exhaustion has been put forward for discussion in the APNIC region.
The proposal suggests five main principles:
(1) Global synchronization:
All five RIRs will proceed at the same time for measures on IPv4 address exhaustion.
(2) Some Blocks to be left:
Keep a few /8 stocks instead of distributing all.
(3) Keeping current practices until the last moment:
Maintain the current policy until the last allocation.
(4) Separate discussions on "recycle" issue:
Recovery of unused address space should be discussed separately
For more information on the proposal, see:
http://www.apnic.net/docs/policy/proposals/prop-046-v001.html
This proposal affects the whole Internet community. I encourage you to read the proposal and have your say on the APNIC Policy SIG mailing list, or at the upcoming APNIC 23 meeting in Bali, Indonesia, 26 February - 2 March 2007. If you can't attend the meeting in person, you can still have your say by participating remotely via live chat.
APNIC Policy SIG mailing list information:
http://www.apnic.net/community/lists
APNIC 23:
http://www.apnic.net/meetings/23/
Kind regards, Elly APNIC
_______________________________________________ NZNOG mailing list NZNOG(a)list.waikato.ac.nz http://list.waikato.ac.nz/mailman/listinfo/nznog
On 13/02/2007 9:40 p.m., Jamie Baddeley wrote:
*characterised by entities who've trod the multihoming path to APNIC to get *assigned*, plumped up their estimates, and is still looking at at the remaining space wondering what the heck they can do with it. There is a minimum portable allocation / assignment - it would take an APNIC (or is it the laws of physics [routing], Jim?) policy change to alter that and get numbers back for reallocation / assignment.
Gerard
Jamie Baddeley wrote:
IX's and the like have accelerated IPv4 depletion. Discuss.
Only true to a limited extent. The real problem is that the minimum allocation sizes have been set artificially high to keep the size of the routing table down. If it had been possible to get /24s from the RIRs in recent years, I'd say a lot of multihomed sites wouldn't be sitting on large blocks of unused address space. I see the many more /24s finding their way into the routing table as organisations acquire unused blocks from others. It should have been possible a long time ago, but RIR rules have discouraged it. Like it or not, once the RIRs have no address space left to assign, a secondary market in address space will form, and it's up to the RIRs to figure out whether they're going to be involved in the process or not. Frankly, I don't think the size of the routing table is an excuse any more. Memory and processor horsepower are cheap. (Or should be. Someone should tell Cisco, whose long time habit of shipping routers with stupid memory configurations had a lot to do with carriers refusing to accept long prefixes, and therefore getting us into this mess.) -- don
On 13 Feb 2007, at 20:25, Don Stokes wrote:
Frankly, I don't think the size of the routing table is an excuse any more. Memory and processor horsepower are cheap.
It's not just the extra memory and grunt needed, convergence time needs to stay low too.
On Wed, 2007-02-14 at 09:25 +1300, Don Stokes wrote:
Jamie Baddeley wrote:
IX's and the like have accelerated IPv4 depletion. Discuss.
Only true to a limited extent. The real problem is that the minimum allocation sizes have been set artificially high to keep the size of the routing table down.
If it had been possible to get /24s from the RIRs in recent years, I'd say a lot of multihomed sites wouldn't be sitting on large blocks of unused address space.
I see the many more /24s finding their way into the routing table as organisations acquire unused blocks from others. It should have been possible a long time ago, but RIR rules have discouraged it. Like it or not, once the RIRs have no address space left to assign, a secondary market in address space will form, and it's up to the RIRs to figure out whether they're going to be involved in the process or not.
Indeed. And the question has been asked: http://www.apnic.net/mailing-lists/sig-policy/archive/2007/02/msg00007.html jamie
Hi all, I thought I'd jump in here. Without attempting to stop any discussion here on the nznog list, I would like to invite you all to continue this discussion on the policy-sig list! This is a quite significant proposal that raises some important questions about the way IP space is managed and how we as the Internet community should manage the eventual exhaustion of IPv4 and increased deployment of IPv6. As such, it affects all of us in the Internet community. The nznog list has always had very healthy debate and although some of us from APNIC staff are on this list and try to capture some of the feedback here, the way to really get your voice heard is to do it on the policy-sig list. (I see that some of you have done that which is great, but I would like more "nznogers" to get on the policy list and get involved!) There are a lot of valuable opinions here and this discussion needs input from all parts of the community. You can easily subscribe to the policy-sig list here: http://mailman.apnic.net/mailman/listinfo/sig-policy And check out the archives here: http://www.apnic.net/mailing-lists/sig-policy/ Don't hesitate to shoot me a mail if you have any questions about this! Cheers, Nurani APNIC P.S. I was very sad to miss the last NZNOG meeting! But I did have a nice cold beer here and I thought of you guys... :-) On 15/02/2007, at 6:06 AM, jamie baddeley wrote:
On Wed, 2007-02-14 at 09:25 +1300, Don Stokes wrote:
Jamie Baddeley wrote: > IX's and the like have accelerated IPv4 depletion. Discuss. Only true to a limited extent. The real problem is that the minimum allocation sizes have been set artificially high to keep the size of the routing table down. If it had been possible to get /24s from the RIRs in recent years, I'd say a lot of multihomed sites wouldn't be sitting on large blocks of unused address space. I see the many more /24s finding their way into the routing table as organisations acquire unused blocks from others. It should have been possible a long time ago, but RIR rules have discouraged it. Like it or not, once the RIRs have no address space left to assign, a secondary market in address space will form, and it's up to the RIRs to figure out whether they're going to be involved in the process or not.
Indeed. And the question has been asked: http://www.apnic.net/mailing-lists/sig-policy/archive/2007/02/ msg00007.html
jamie _______________________________________________ NZNOG mailing list NZNOG(a)list.waikato.ac.nz http://list.waikato.ac.nz/mailman/listinfo/nznog
Jamie Baddeley wrote:
IX's and the like have accelerated IPv4 depletion. Discuss.
-Multihoming means assignment at the cost of conservation. -Has also accelerated AS number depletion (though that issue seems to have been sidestepped.)
I don't think the IXes are to blame at all. General end organisation multi-homing is far more to blame than peering. How many people are happily peering at WIX using PA space and private ASNs and having the RS' strip them? Perhaps "lack of carrier reliability" would be a better one - if they were reliable, then so many people wouldn't multihome! aj.
On Wed, Feb 14, 2007 at 10:41:54AM +1300, Alastair Johnson said:
Jamie Baddeley wrote:
IX's and the like have accelerated IPv4 depletion. Discuss.
-Multihoming means assignment at the cost of conservation. -Has also accelerated AS number depletion (though that issue seems to have been sidestepped.)
I don't think the IXes are to blame at all. General end organisation multi-homing is far more to blame than peering. How many people are happily peering at WIX using PA space and private ASNs and having the RS' strip them?
Assuming this wasn't a rhetorical question, quick greppage of the looking glass output suggests 55 peers have private ASN and are advertising a non-zero number of prefixes. I'm not sure this supports an arguement of "peering causes v4 exhaustion" - I'd hypothesize that the majority of NZ organisations going to APNIC for a multihoming allocation aren't peering (but I've no data to back that assertion up). It would be worthwhile noting here that our policies for APE and WIX vary quite significantly here - on WIX we allow /29 and private ASN, on APE we tend to try and enforce /24 and public AS. Generally, if anybody comes to us and starts making muttering noises about wanting to multihome with both an IX and a transit provider, we push them towards a public ASN - it gets too hard to do sane path stuffing if the IX/ISP is stripping the private ASN. Apologies for the late thread wade in, I've been on holiday. Cheers Si
Jamie Baddeley wrote:
Given the deafening silence I'm going to provoke some debate. Just for fun :-)
Debate on this subject is very important as the policy proposal suggests "the exhaustion of IPv4 address space is expected to take place as early as within the next five years". Imagine a world where there are no more allocations of v4 space. How would this affect your business and customers? What if a large country with a huge population, an independent outlook on the world and vast growth in internet usage (mentioning no names) was denied more allocations and simply decided to recycle someone else's /8's as there's "nothing our people need to see in there". What if this was 202.0.0.0/8 or 203.0.0.0/8, or both. Could that happen? If so how badly do things get broken? Seems to me doing nothing (in this case not even rearranging the deck chairs) is not a good option but it looks like the one that will be taken unless there is agreement on a better plan. This policy proposal needs some more debate and who better that nznog members to 'stir it up' :) http://www.apnic.net/mailing-lists/sig-policy/index.shtml -- Robert Gray bob(a)brockhurst.co.nz
From: Robert Gray [mailto:bob(a)brockhurst.co.nz] What if a large country with a huge population, an independent outlook on the world and vast growth in internet usage (mentioning no names) was denied more allocations and simply decided to recycle someone else's /8's as there's "nothing our people need to see in there".
Ok, I'll bite: 16/8 They don't exist any more 19/8 They could sell the block to help get out of debt 20/8 Sorry, think my NDA still applies 34/8 We don't like them 38/8, 40/8, 47/8, 48/8, 52/8, 53/8, 54/8 They don't need/fully utilize the space That should give us a couple more years, eh? JB
On Thu, 2007-02-15 at 08:04 +1300, Jonathan Brewer wrote:
Ok, I'll bite:
16/8 They don't exist any more 19/8 They could sell the block to help get out of debt 20/8 Sorry, think my NDA still applies 34/8 We don't like them 38/8, 40/8, 47/8, 48/8, 52/8, 53/8, 54/8 They don't need/fully utilize the space
That should give us a couple more years, eh?
Well, you mentioned 11 /8's. As the policy document notes, since 2003 approximately 10 /8s have been allocated annually. So no, not really. Stephen. -- ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Stephen Donnelly BCMS PhD email: sfd(a)endace.com Endace Technology Ltd phone: +64 7 839 0540 Hamilton, New Zealand cell: +64 21 1104378 -----------------------------------------------------------------------
On 14-Feb-2007, at 13:35, Robert Gray wrote:
Jamie Baddeley wrote:
Given the deafening silence I'm going to provoke some debate. Just for fun :-)
Debate on this subject is very important as the policy proposal suggests "the exhaustion of IPv4 address space is expected to take place as early as within the next five years".
Imagine a world where there are no more allocations of v4 space. How would this affect your business and customers?
There's a slight non-sequitur in your phrasing, there. If the RIRs have no more address space to assign or allocate, that doesn't mean there are necessarily "no more allocations of v4 space"; it might just mean that you stop shopping for address space at APNIC, and start buying on eBay.
What if a large country with a huge population, an independent outlook on the world and vast growth in internet usage (mentioning no names) was denied more allocations and simply decided to recycle someone else's /8's as there's "nothing our people need to see in there".
Such large countries are often responsible for prodigious international trade; it's not obvious that disabling lines of communication would benefit that trade, so perhaps that would be a disincentive to such practices.
What if this was 202.0.0.0/8 or 203.0.0.0/8, or both. Could that happen? If so how badly do things get broken?
There's a difference between internal-use addressing and globally- unique addressing. If a large carrier decided to claim something like 202/8 or 203/8 for their own and attempted to announce them (in whatever small chunks were required to win their traffic) we might reasonably expect their peers and transit providers not to accept and propagate the announcements. That limits the usefulness of such hijacking.
Seems to me doing nothing (in this case not even rearranging the deck chairs) is not a good option but it looks like the one that will be taken unless there is agreement on a better plan. This policy proposal needs some more debate and who better that nznog members to 'stir it up' :)
The cynic in me (hey! that's all of me!) says that IPv6 is the answer, but that until the cost of deploying IPv6 exceeds the cost of struggling on with IPv4, everything will be business as usual. This further suggests to me that we have at least ten years of intense lawsuits and shouting to go before I can go IPv6-only. Joe
Joe Abley wrote:
Such large countries are often responsible for prodigious international trade; it's not obvious that disabling lines of communication would benefit that trade, so perhaps that would be a disincentive to such practices.
As always Joe you make excellent points. My thinking here was that in the absence of further v4 allocations a very large trading country might consider that the internet was already broken and that allowing its citizens some access might be better than providing no access at all. Indeed one might speculate that the vast bulk of users in a very large country using a complex language of their own might not miss the english speaking world to any great extent. For those who found it a problem (international traders) legitimate v4 addresses could be allocated.
If a large carrier decided to claim something like 202/8 or 203/8 for their own and attempted to announce them (in whatever small chunks were required to win their traffic) we might reasonably expect their peers and transit providers not to accept and propagate the announcements.
Or the clout of a very large trading nation might be much more than that of a very small pacific rim country. Might not large corporates (eg telcos) be pressured by big countries into making 'special' arrangements, rather in the way China have dealt with Google?
The cynic in me (hey! that's all of me!) says that IPv6 is the answer, but that until the cost of deploying IPv6 exceeds the cost of struggling on with IPv4, everything will be business as usual.
While people can readily access v4 space I agree there is no commercial reason to deploy v6. I've suggested on the policy sig that further allocations of v4 should be tied to (say) implementing v6, at least to some extent. The pressure to migrate need not be solely commercial for example the artificial (regulatory) 'drop dead' dates for the analogue cell phone network in Australia or as I recall the VHF TV network in the UK are excellent examples. A policy that links new allocations, or even retaining current allocations(?) to taking positive steps to migrate might well move us further and quicker than purely commercial pressures will. In some ways it's a bit academic as, like global warming, no one wants to give up their oil dependency until the last drop runs out of the bowser. Cheers, Bob -- Robert Gray bob(a)brockhurst.co.nz
participants (13)
-
Alastair Johnson
-
Andy Davidson
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Andy Linton
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Don Stokes
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Gerard Creamer
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jamie baddeley
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Jamie Baddeley
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Joe Abley
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Jonathan Brewer
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Nurani Nimpuno
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Robert Gray
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Simon Blake
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Stephen Donnelly